DOES AN ELECTION YEAR REALLY AFFECT AUCTIONS?

What happened in 2023?

With another election year upon us, a familiar question is popping up:

“Do buyers just sit on their hands until after the election?”

To find out, we asked our Central Area auctioneer, Marian Tolich.   Marian kindly revisited her weekly auction notes from 2023 - the year of our last General Election (October 2023).  What she found was both interesting and reassuring:
 

WHAT MARIAN NOTICED IN 2023:

Early 2023

  • Auctions were quieter - but not because of politics

  • Buyer activity was constrained by price adjustment, not uncertainty

Mid-year

  • Confidence returned well before the election

  • Auction rooms filled, bidder numbers increased, and competition drove prices

Late winter / early spring

  • Some of the strongest auctions of the year occurred weeks before election day

  • Deep bidding and decisive buyers were common

As the election approached

  • The election began to feature in conversations - but not in buyer behaviour

  • Auctions continued to sell when expectations were realistic and homes were well presented
     

THE KEY CONCLUSION

With the usual caveat often used in investment commentary: "past performance does not guarantee future results" - Marian’s notes suggest that the widely talked-about “election freeze” was largely a story, not a behaviour.

Buyers who were ready didn’t wait.
They showed up, competed, and bought.

What mattered most wasn’t politics - it was price, presentation, and a clear strategy.

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